Tuesday 22 October 2013

Non farm Friday.....I know......

Just some charts showing some price action over the last 3 NFPs....all 3 off the mark. Beginning to wonder what these analyst actually do with their time?

July 5th - Expected 165k Actual 188k (September contract)

My CQG wont give me enough data to show what happened here so I have used Bloomy.
Tya- Despite the beat being unspectacular in the grand scheme of things U.S. tens still made an impressive move. Starting around 125.285 down to 124.25.

Bund 142.32 down to 141.54
 
Bobl - Was in quite a strong uptrend at the time according to this chart. 125.90 to 125.64
 
August 2nd - Expected 184k Actual 104k (September contract)
Quite a big miss saw the tya from 125.085 to 126.15
 
 Bunds got sold quite heavily into the release from 141.92 down to 75 before the spike up to 142.49
 
Bobl 125.52 to 125.86
 
 
September 6th Expected 180 Actual 169 (December contract)
Tya - Modestly bad number against a trending down (Taper BS) market had quite some impact!
122.115 to 123.205
 
Bunds 136.75 to 137.77
 
Bobl from 122.55 to 123.05
 
 
Stand by yer beds soldiers!
Lee
 
 
 
 



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